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• The Market  The Federal Open Market Committee decided to keep its target for the federal funds rate at 5.25%; citing indications of firmer economic growth and some tentative signs of stabilization in the housing market. Overall, the Fed says that the economy seems likely to expand at a moderate pace and readings on core inflation have improved modestly in recent months with moderate inflation pressures.  

The announcement caused the first short-lived little rally of 2007 on 01/31, which went flat after the weekly Jobless Claims report continued to show the US labor market is enjoying moderate growth.

The Bottom Line is that Interest rates have been hovering around the same range since last September and they’ll likely remain where they are for the foreseeable future, or for the year.  

• 1.5 Trillion in 3 & 5 Year ARMS Resetting in 2007

According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, close to $1.5 trillion in adjustable-rate-mortgages are due to have their rates reset this year. Now that it looks like the Fed will not lower interest rates anytime soon, these already-stretched home-owners/borrowers will soon see the 3 & 5 year fixed intermediate ARM loans (they took out during the real estate boom years of 2002-2005) significantly adjust upward in rate. For many, there will be few options available.

Although increased foreclosures and defaults are already being reported in the press, so far most local markets like ours in Marin and Sonoma have been reabsorbing foreclosed homes without too much material effect. However, 2007 will be the first real year that intermediate ARM resets will be taking place and with values down and rates up, many analysts are worried that we as retail loan originators will have no way to help many borrowers, especially in certain speculative markets.

Bank of America tests new marketing strategy.

Last week’s news that Bank of America may enter into a joint venture with Countrywide forced many people to miss, what for many in the banking industry, is an even bigger story.

The Associated Press reports that since September 2006, Bank of America has been testing a brand new loan marketing strategy. Washington State borrowers are being offered “no-fee” mortgages to the public. The bank covers the usual closing costs and eliminates the retail origination fee – basically offering wholesale pricing to the public (yeah, I know what you’re thinking). No word on whether they plan to roll the program out nationally. Stay Tuned....


Posted by Sylvia Barry on March 3rd, 2007 11:50 PMPost a Comment (0)

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 MARIN REAL ESTATE
Sylvia Barry provides professional Real Estate Consulting for Marin Home Sellers or Buyers - Novato, San Rafael, Corte Madera, Kentfield, Mill Valley, Ross, Belvedere, Tiburon, Greenbrae, Larkspur, Marinwood, Nicasio, San Anselmo; as well as Sonoma County Sonoma Real Estate Consulting - Petaluma, Rohnert Park, Cotati, Santa Rosa, Penngrove. Marin County Real Estate, Marin County Homes, Marin Realtor,
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